Conservative leadership contest: Liz Truss nets key endorsement
On September 5, either Liz Truss or Rishi Sunak will get the next prime minister of the United kingdom of great britain and northern ireland after they made information technology to the terminal ii of the Conservative Party leadership competition. Dan Childs looks at where they stand up on the fundamental issues.
Major Government jobs
Truss entered the cabinet as surroundings secretary in 2014. Since then she has held the positions of justice secretary (2016-17), chief secretary to the Treasury (2017-19), international trade secretary (2019-2021) and strange secretary (2021-now).
Sunak rose to prominence in July 2019 when Boris Johnson appointed him every bit main secretary to the Treasury. He was promoted to the position of chancellor in February 2020 before resigning three weeks ago.
Economical policies
Truss favours immediate tax cuts, specifically cancelling the planned rise in corporation taxation and a reversal of the recent rise in the National Insurance rate.
Sunak pledged to press ahead with plans he put in place to "restore trust and rebuild the economy". Recent tax increases would be likely to remain in place, at least in the short term.
Brexit stance
Truss voted remain in the 2016 referendum but has said that she was incorrect to practise and then. Every bit shortly every bit 2017 she said that, given the opportunity to vote once again, she would have voted for Brexit.
Sunak voted to leave the European union in the 2016 referendum.
Ukraine state of war position
As strange secretary, Truss has been closely aligned with the policy of sending significant fabric support for Ukraine in the war against Russia.
Sunak has also been supportive of Ukraine, assuring President Zelensky in April that "the United kingdom of great britain and northern ireland will remain your strongest ally".
Partygate problems
Truss tested positive for Covid in Jan this twelvemonth, hours after appearing in the Firm of Commons without wearing a face mask.
Sunak was issued with a stock-still penalty detect for breaking Covid regulations during lockdown, becoming the first Chancellor of the Exchequer to have been establish to have broken the law while in office.
Betting odds & assay
Later on a blitz of voting amidst Conservative MPs which swiftly whittled the race to replace Boris Johnson down from 8 contenders to ii, a much longer process will ultimately make up one's mind whether Liz Truss or Rishi Sunak will become the next prime minister.
Conservative Party members will get to make the terminal decision and at that place were around 160,000 of them at the fourth dimension of the 2019 leadership contest betwixt Johnson and Jeremy Hunt.
They will be given enough of time to make up their minds in a drawn-out process which concludes on September 5, when the final result will be announced.
Not long ago the membership appeared to exist strongly supportive of Penny Mordaunt, who shortened to odds-on to be the adjacent prime government minister, but their backing seems to have moved behind Truss in recent days.
The near recent YouGov head-to-head poll between Truss and Sunak, taken between July 18 and July 19, placed the foreign secretary on 54 per cent and the quondam chancellor on 35 per cent.
And that information has filtered its style into the betting with Truss shortening to four-6 to be the side by side prime minister and Sunak available at eleven-8.
It should be remembered that Bourgeois membership support for Johnson was significantly stronger than in the country at big and probably much more solid than among Conservative MPs.
Perceived disloyalty to Johnson could be a factor in how some of them cast their votes and Sunak is on a stickier wicket in that respect since it was his resignation, alongside Sajid Javid, which contributed hugely to the timing of the former Prime number Government minister'due south demise.
Sunak appreciates that he has an uphill task alee of him merely has a program to succeed, by pitching himself as the person best placed to take on Labour at the next general election.
In a YouGov poll among the general public from July 6-vii, Sunak was the clear winner with 13 per cent of people choosing him as their preferred Conservative leader.
Information technology was a wide-open race at the time just Sunak was a long way clear of Hunt, Javid and Dominic Raab, who each picked up four per cent, and fifty-fifty farther articulate of Truss (three per cent).
Sunak will await to play up his reputation equally a safe pair of hands on the economy, having been the architect backside massive support packages, including the furlough scheme, which helped millions through the toughest times of the Covid pandemic.
However, he also needs to mask some pregnant weaknesses, including the controversy over the not-domiciled tax status of his wife and the fixed penalty notice he received for breaking Covid regulations.
Truss has a lead to protect just has plenty of time to lose information technology and should be mindful of how quickly the tide turned against her colleague Mordaunt.
The 46-year-old's status as a sometime remain supporter might non get downward well amid sections of Tory members and her tax-cutting commitments could betrayal her to accusations that she cannot be trusted to accept tough decisions on the economic system.
Truss has been a steadfast supporter for Ukrainian independence and is likely to re-emphasise that principle in an effort to stay in pole position merely information technology await similar being an unpredictable race and both contenders are likely to fancy their chances.
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Source: https://www.racingpost.com/sport/politics/next-conservative-leader-odds-and-predictions-liz-truss-edging-rishi-sunak/569272
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